The data highlights shifting dynamics among supporters of the New Patriotic Party (NPP), the National Democratic Congress (NDC), and undecided voters, suggesting potential challenges for the opposition party’s leading figures.
According to the analysis, Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia, referred to as DMB, maintained a strong lead among NPP voters. The poll indicates that he secured an 83-point advantage over John Mahama during the 2024 elections.
When NPP voters were asked about their preferences for 2028, Bawumia reportedly retained the same margin if Cassiel Ato Forson emerges as the NDC candidate.
The margin increases further against other potential NDC contenders. Dankwah’s data suggests Bawumia would lead Johnson Asiedu Nketia by 89 points, while both Haruna Iddrisu and Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang trail by 87 points each.
Among these, Ato Forson is identified as the only candidate capable of matching Mahama’s 2024 performance within the NPP voter base.
However, the report points to difficulties for all NDC hopefuls among their own supporters. None of the leading figures matched Mahama’s performance among NDC voters in the previous election.
The polling places Bawumia as the strongest performer within this group with 78 points, followed closely by Ato Forson at 77, Iddrisu at 76, and Asiedu Nketia trailing with 75.
Among floating voters, Mahama previously held a 14-point advantage, but the new data suggests that none of the current NDC frontrunners are performing at that same level.
This signals potential vulnerabilities for the party as it prepares for a highly competitive race.
Dankwah concluded that Ato Forson is the only NDC candidate currently leading Bawumia, with a narrow five-point edge.
In contrast, Bawumia leads Asiedu Nketia by five points, Iddrisu by one point, and Opoku-Agyemang by six points, underscoring a fragmented and uncertain electoral landscape ahead of 2028.