Political analyst and pollster Mussa Dankwah has sparked fresh debate over Ghana’s 2028 presidential election with his bold assertion that Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia would be defeated by any candidate presented by the National Democratic Congress (NDC).
The statement, which circulated widely online and was amplified by GF ICON, elicited strong reactions across party lines.
According to Dankwah, survey research from his team suggests the Vice President is currently trailing all conceivable NDC challengers in projected matchups for 2028.
While he did not release detailed survey data, the warning was clear: voter sentiment toward Dr. Bawumia appears weak, posing a challenge for the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) as it looks beyond the Akufo-Addo era.
The remark comes at a delicate moment for the NPP, which continues to face criticism over economic strain, governance issues, and internal party disputes.
Analysts say Dankwah’s prediction may reflect broader public dissatisfaction, driven by rising costs of living and frustration with the current administration, factors that could affect the NPP’s electoral prospects.
Supporters of Dr. Bawumia have rejected the forecast, questioning the objectivity of the survey and insisting that predicting an election years in advance is premature.
They highlight Bawumia’s appeal to younger voters and his emphasis on technology and digital transformation as potential game-changers.
Meanwhile, NDC supporters have welcomed the analysis as confirmation of their growing political momentum. To them, it suggests a weakening of the NPP’s influence over the electorate and a shift in the balance ahead of future elections.
Regardless of interpretation, Dankwah’s statement has succeeded in drawing early attention to the 2028 presidential race, intensifying discussion about Dr. Bawumia’s viability and the NPP’s strategy for maintaining its political dominance.